“The 20” charts & analytics to gauge the State of the Markets

Scroll down to see all “The 20” charts

Here’s the Part 2 Video Series from my YouTube Channel

Part 1

Part 2

Streaks and Rankings

Longest Bull Markets in History  –  Currently #2

(Click Here to read the full article)

* Side note:  The record setting monthly US Jobs Growth streak continues to:     79 months

Largest VIX Spikes in History Rankings

(Click Here to read the full article)

XIV Crashes of 10% or more Rankings

(Click Here to read the full article)

* The VTS Tactical Volatility Strategy has avoided over 90% of the worst days

Top 10 single day XIV gains since inception

Longest “Cash Position” streaks in the VTS Tactical Volatility Strategy

 (Click Here to read the full article)

Longest streaks of VIX Futures “Contango” and “Backwardation”

 (Click Here to read the full article)

The Largest S&P 500 Drawdowns and time to full recoveries

Comparing our Total Portfolio Solution to a 1% per month forever fund

The Markets

S&P 500 Annual Earnings     –     Since 1900

S&P 500 Annual Earnings     –     The past 5 years

VWELX Annualized return since interest rates were high in 1980

(VWELX is a Vanguard stocks / bonds balanced index fund)

S&P 500 Annualized return since interest rates were high in 1980

Major Asset Class Performance over the last 10 Years

Major Asset Class Performance   –   Most recent 12 Months

Top 5 performing sectors in the past 10 years

Bottom 5 performing sectors in the past 10 years

The Broad Economy

Real US Gross Domestic Product  (GDP)  since 1948     –     Current 1.7%

Average Annual US Unemployment Rate since 1950     –     Current:  4.7%

Labour Force Participation Rate since 1948     –     All

Labour Force Participation Rate since 1948     –     For Men

Labour Force Participation Rate since 1948     –     For Women

10 Year US Treasury Yields since 1987

Annual Inflation Rates since 1947

Monthly Inflation rates since 2010

Real Rates     –     10 Year US Treasury Yield minus Annual Inflation Rate

Volatility Analytics

VIX Futures Term Structure Contango  (M1 & M2)

VIX Futures Term Structure Roll Yield  (VIX : M1)

VIX Roll Yield broken down by year

VIX : VXV Ratio

VVIX  –  Volatility of Volatility

VIX Standard Deviation

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The Daily Email

As a subscriber, every day before 12:00 Eastern Time you will be getting a single email from me that includes all the current positions we hold as well as any new positions we will be getting into that day.  This means you'll have all the new daily trades before I take them myself, as it should be.  Full transparency, all trades posted live before taking them.  None of this, here's what we did after the fact nonsense that's so common these days...

 

  • If you're a subscriber to just the Volatility Strategies your email will have information for just those 3 strategies

The VTS Indicators

The VTS Indicators are an easy to understand method of conveying the trade signals in our daily email to subscribers.  The needle will point to one of the only three possible positions our trading strategies will ever take:

 

VTS Tactical Volatility Strategy:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

VTS Tactical Balanced Strategy:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

VTS Discretionary Strategy:

  • This is our freestyle strategy that will involve any number of different trade types depending on market conditions.  It's designed both as an investable strategy, as well as a teaching strategy where I will go into much more detail of each trade.
  • To learn more about the strategy, check out the video on the VTS Discretionary Strategy

 

VTS Conservative Vol  +  VTS Aggressive Vol

  • Both are volatility strategies designed for investors with different risk tolerance levels.
  • Both have a VTS indicator that looks very similar to the Tactical Volatility ones above.
  • Both will be included with every subscription level so you will always see all the volatility strategies in your daily email

 

 

 

 

 

This is NOT Day Trading

None of our trading strategies are very active, so most of the time you will just read the email and nothing else will be required of you that day.  It's extremely easy to follow our strategies.

 

  • The VTS Tactical Balanced Strategy averages 3.5 trade transactions per month.
  • The VTS Tactical Volatility Strategy averages 2.9 trade transactions per month
  • The VTS Aggressive Vol Strategy averages 1.8 trade transactions per month
  • The VTS Conservative Vol Strategy averages 2.5 trade transactions per month
  • The VTS Discretionary Strategy averages about  4 trade transactions per month

Executing Trades

On those few days per month when trades are required, you will open your trading software and execute the trades.

 

  • Margin accounts are the easiest to work with, but cash accounts are also acceptable.  If you are using a margin account you can execute trades any time of day, but if you choose you can also use MOC "market on close" orders as well.  It's not required, but I personally do use MOC orders so that all my trades execute at the end of the day.
  • If you are trading in Cash accounts, just input your trades manually at any time throughout the day.  We're all very busy so honestly whenever is most convenient for you will work just fine.  The small differences in execution prices throughout the day should balance out over time.
  • IRA style tax sheltered accounts are allowed.  Our Tactical Balanced Strategy and our Volatility Strategies only trade long ETPs so all account structures are allowed.  However there may be some exceptions but we do have full troubleshooting and ETF replacements if you're having issues.  For our Discretionary Options Strategy please contact your broker.  Several of them allow option trading within tax sheltered accounts but there are some that don't so please contact them directly.
  • The VTS Discretionary Options Strategy does require a margin account with options trading authorization

The Daily Email

As a subscriber, every day before 12:00 Eastern Time you will be getting a single email from me that includes all the current positions we hold as well as any new positions we will be getting into that day.  This means you'll have all the new daily trades before I take them myself, as it should be.  Full transparency, all trades posted live before taking them.  None of this, here's what we did after the fact nonsense that's so common these days...

 

  • If you're a subscriber to just the Volatility Strategies your email will have information for just those 3 strategies

The VTS Indicators

The VTS Indicators are an easy to understand method of conveying the trade signals in our daily email to subscribers.  The needle will point to one of the only three possible positions our trading strategies will ever take:

 

VTS Tactical Volatility Strategy:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

VTS Tactical Balanced Strategy:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

VTS Discretionary Strategy:

  • This is our freestyle strategy that will involve any number of different trade types depending on market conditions.  It's designed both as an investable strategy, as well as a teaching strategy where I will go into much more detail of each trade.
  • To learn more about the strategy, check out the video on the VTS Discretionary Strategy

 

VTS Conservative Vol  +  VTS Aggressive Vol

  • Both are volatility strategies designed for investors with different risk tolerance levels.
  • Both have a VTS indicator that looks very similar to the Tactical Volatility ones above.
  • Both will be included with every subscription level so you will always see all the volatility strategies in your daily email

 

 

 

 

 

This is NOT Day Trading

None of our trading strategies are very active, so most of the time you will just read the email and nothing else will be required of you that day.  It's extremely easy to follow our strategies.

 

  • The VTS Tactical Balanced Strategy averages 3.5 trade transactions per month.
  • The VTS Tactical Volatility Strategy averages 2.9 trade transactions per month
  • The VTS Aggressive Vol Strategy averages 1.8 trade transactions per month
  • The VTS Conservative Vol Strategy averages 2.5 trade transactions per month
  • The VTS Discretionary Strategy averages about  4 trade transactions per month

Executing Trades

On those few days per month when trades are required, you will open your trading software and execute the trades.

 

  • Margin accounts are the easiest to work with, but cash accounts are also acceptable.  If you are using a margin account you can execute trades any time of day, but if you choose you can also use MOC "market on close" orders as well.  It's not required, but I personally do use MOC orders so that all my trades execute at the end of the day.
  • If you are trading in Cash accounts, just input your trades manually at any time throughout the day.  We're all very busy so honestly whenever is most convenient for you will work just fine.  The small differences in execution prices throughout the day should balance out over time.
  • IRA style tax sheltered accounts are allowed.  Our Tactical Balanced Strategy and our Volatility Strategies only trade long ETPs so all account structures are allowed.  However there may be some exceptions but we do have full troubleshooting and ETF replacements if you're having issues.  For our Discretionary Options Strategy please contact your broker.  Several of them allow option trading within tax sheltered accounts but there are some that don't so please contact them directly.
  • The VTS Discretionary Options Strategy does require a margin account with options trading authorization

The Daily Email

As a subscriber, every day before 12:00 Eastern Time you will be getting a single email from me that includes all the current positions we hold as well as any new positions we will be getting into that day.  This means you'll have all the new daily trades before I take them myself, as it should be.  Full transparency, all trades posted live before taking them.  None of this, here's what we did after the fact nonsense that's so common these days...

 

  • If you're a subscriber to just the Volatility Strategies your email will have information for just those 3 strategies

The VTS Indicators

The VTS Indicators are an easy to understand method of conveying the trade signals in our daily email to subscribers.  The needle will point to one of the only three possible positions our trading strategies will ever take:

 

VTS Tactical Volatility Strategy:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

VTS Tactical Balanced Strategy:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

VTS Discretionary Strategy:

  • This is our freestyle strategy that will involve any number of different trade types depending on market conditions.  It's designed both as an investable strategy, as well as a teaching strategy where I will go into much more detail of each trade.
  • To learn more about the strategy, check out the video on the VTS Discretionary Strategy

 

VTS Conservative Vol  +  VTS Aggressive Vol

  • Both are volatility strategies designed for investors with different risk tolerance levels.
  • Both have a VTS indicator that looks very similar to the Tactical Volatility ones above.
  • Both will be included with every subscription level so you will always see all the volatility strategies in your daily email

 

 

 

 

 

This is NOT Day Trading

None of our trading strategies are very active, so most of the time you will just read the email and nothing else will be required of you that day.  It's extremely easy to follow our strategies.

 

  • The VTS Tactical Balanced Strategy averages 3.5 trade transactions per month.
  • The VTS Tactical Volatility Strategy averages 2.9 trade transactions per month
  • The VTS Aggressive Vol Strategy averages 1.8 trade transactions per month
  • The VTS Conservative Vol Strategy averages 2.5 trade transactions per month
  • The VTS Discretionary Strategy averages about  4 trade transactions per month

Executing Trades

On those few days per month when trades are required, you will open your trading software and execute the trades.

 

  • Margin accounts are the easiest to work with, but cash accounts are also acceptable.  If you are using a margin account you can execute trades any time of day, but if you choose you can also use MOC "market on close" orders as well.  It's not required, but I personally do use MOC orders so that all my trades execute at the end of the day.
  • If you are trading in Cash accounts, just input your trades manually at any time throughout the day.  We're all very busy so honestly whenever is most convenient for you will work just fine.  The small differences in execution prices throughout the day should balance out over time.
  • IRA style tax sheltered accounts are allowed.  Our Tactical Balanced Strategy and our Volatility Strategies only trade long ETPs so all account structures are allowed.  However there may be some exceptions but we do have full troubleshooting and ETF replacements if you're having issues.  For our Discretionary Options Strategy please contact your broker.  Several of them allow option trading within tax sheltered accounts but there are some that don't so please contact them directly.
  • The VTS Discretionary Options Strategy does require a margin account with options trading authorization

Got a question?  Ask me anything